Ominous state of the world’s fishery

The headlines certainly have painted a rather bleak assessment of our chances of having a fish dinner on the table by 2048. Researchers including a scientist at Dalhousie University in Halifax, Nova Scotia, have sounded an alarm over the dwindling stocks and precarious nature of the world’s fish stocks.

With headlines such as these below, Fish stocks would seem to be heading towards an oceacn based days of Armageddon, which should the trend continue, would leave the image of a vibrant and self sustaining fishery for the world to be a doubtful thing.

ONLY 50 YEARS LEFT FOR SEA FISH

OCEAN STOCKS IN PERIL IF TREND PERSISTS

MARINE LIFE IS HEADING FOR A COLLAPSE

RESEARCHERS PREDICT COLLAPSE OF SEAFOOD SPECIES

THE DAY IN NUMBERS: 2048

ACCELERATING LOSS OF OCEAN SPECIES THREATENS HUMAN WELL-BEING

GLOBAL FISHERIES IN PERIL

STUDY: 90% OF THE OCEAN'S EDIBLE SPECIES MAY BE GONE BY 2048

2050: THE YEAR OF NO MORE FISH

In the end we will have to wait and see how the fish stocks hold out and hopefully repopulate. Perhaps their chances would be that much better, if they mimicked the lifestyle of the Gulf toadfish, a rather reslient species which uses stealth maneuvers including eavesdropping to stay away from it’s most common predators.

Barring the humans getting their act together soon, perhaps the toadfish should school the rest of the eco system on its ways, giving the world’s oceans a chance to continue to thrive.

Until them we’ll be left with this cautionary tale, a very interesting article from the Vancouver Sun that should provide more than a few points to ponder about the fragile systems in the world that we risk forever altering with each passing day.

Fisheries 'facing collapse'
Only radical action will prevent world's seas from dying by 2050, report says
Nicholas Read and Margaret Munro
Vancouver Sun; CanWest News Service
Friday, November 03, 2006

To listen to story, click the VoicePrint link

The world's fisheries will collapse by 2050 unless there is a revolution in the way the oceans are managed, says an international research team whose members include a University of B.C. scientist.

The researchers, whose assessment of the dying seas was published in the journal Science on Thursday, say it's not too late to save the fisheries that feed millions of people. But major changes are required, and soon.

"We're in for some profound changes," says Reg Watson, a senior research associate at the UBC Fisheries Centre, and one of the authors of the Science report.

"Can we make them happen slowly enough so that we can make the necessary changes in management? I'm hopeful. But people's awareness needs to be raised. What was unthinkable before is happening now."

He blames the problem on overfishing, habitat destruction and pollution, though environmental change is an increasingly serious factor as well.

"We have essentially been mining down marine systems by taking the biggest and best fish first, which is the equivalent of gold in a mine," Watson said. "Then we've moved down to smaller fish and then even smaller fish so that now we're fishing for fish in deep, cold water -- fish that take a long time to reproduce."

Twenty-nine per cent of the world's fish and seafood species, including Canada's once immense Atlantic cod fishery, have collapsed to less than 10 per cent of their original size, the researchers say. That includes 31 species in the area that extends from the tip of the Alaskan Peninsula to the southern Canada/U.S. border.

Included on that list are such signature B.C. species as coho and chinook salmon, oolichan and rainbow trout.

"The good news is that the stocks in B.C. and Alaska are probably not as imperilled as many other places in the world," Watson said. "But, at the same time, we know from living in B.C. that there are many species we have to leave alone."

The main problem, says the report, is that bigger boats outfitted with more efficient technologies are chasing fewer fish, causing the overall global catch to fall by 13 per cent between 1994 and 2003.

In Prince Rupert, people who make their living processing salmon and other types of fish know how serious the situation is. This year, because of a collapse of the Alaska pink salmon run, all but a handful of about 1,500 shore workers in the northern B.C. town failed to accumulate enough hours this summer to qualify for Employment Insurance. That means many of them could end up on welfare.

"There's been less and less work over the years, but this year has been a disaster," said Christina Nelson of the Prince Rupert branch of the United Fishermen and Allied Workers Union. "The Alaska pink salmon just didn't show. It's probably the worst year for 50 years."

Making matters even more desperate, the area's herring fishery had its smallest catch since it began in 1974, and the crab fishery was at its lowest in 15 years.
The situation is changing farther south as well. According to the Department of Fisheries and Oceans, only 2,220 licences were issued this year for the entire B.C. salmon fishery. That's down 50 per cent from 10 years ago.

And that is despite the fact that Pacific salmon are among the best-managed species in the world, says Watson.
The oolichan fishery, by contrast, is all but gone.
Jimmy Adams, a member of the Katzie First Nation near Pitt Meadows, can remember when he could make a living fishing salmon and oolichan. Not any more.

"You used to be able to fish five days a week for months. Now you can only go out three or four times a year."

Adams, who is 64, has been trying to sell his boat, a 30-foot gillnetter, for the past four years, but no one wants to buy it, he says, because everyone wants out of the business.

The Science report warns that all fish and seafood species face a similar fate unless there are serious changes in the way fish are caught and managed.
"We are predicting we are going to run out of everything in future if we don't change our behaviour," said Boris Worm, a fisheries biologist at Dalhousie University in Halifax.

Federal Fisheries officials acknowledge the oceans have been mismanaged in the past, but say changes have been made both internationally and in Canada to try to prevent further decline.

"In the event that we don't make these changes, that predication might in fact be something that has some credibility, but we are making changes to prevent that from happening," David Bevan, DFO assistant deputy minister, says of the study's "grim" forecast for 2050.

"The only caveat I have, I guess, is that it has been tough slogging and we are dealing with ecosystems under significant change due to temperatures."
A warming trend is evident in the waters on all three Canadian coasts.
"We see 41/2-degree temperature increases in some of our stations off Newfoundland," Bevan said.

But Worm says DFO is still making what he considers misguided decisions, such as opening a small cod fishery in Newfoundland this summer, even though the stocks show little sign of recovery.

He's also baffled by federal Fisheries Minister Loyola Hearn's recent refusal to support a proposed UN moratorium on bottom trawling in international waters, a practice likened to clearcutting on the sea bottom.
nread@png.canwest.com

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IN DANGER

Fish stocks from the tip of the Alaska Peninsula to the 49th parallel that have collapsed to less than 10 per cent of their original size:

Pacific ocean perch
Flathead sole
Coho salmon
Chinook salmon
King crab
Kamchatka flounder
Tonguefish
Butter clams
Righteye flounder
Pacific geoduck
Goatfish
Oolichan
Weathervane scallop
Dogfish shark
Flat oyster
Simpsons surf clam
Pacific razor clam
Octopus
Surf smelt
Pandalus shrimp
Skipjack tuna
Crangonid shrimp
Sand gaper
Rainbow trout
Tope shark
Penaeid shrimp
Basking shark
Pacific bluefin tuna
Angel shark
Charr
Bigeye tuna

Source: Reg Watson, University of B.C.
fisheries scientist

Stocks that are at 50 per cent or less of their maximum historic levels

Pacific herring
Yellowfin sole
Sockeye salmon
Pacific snow crab
Chum salmon
Black rockfish
Sablefish
Dungeness crab
Lingcod
Northern shrimp
Rock sole
Arrowtooth flounder
Piked dogfish
Greenland halibut
Pacific cupped oyster
Pacific Jack mackerel
Sea urchin
Northern prawn
Skate
Albacore
American shad
Chub mackerel
Sea cucumber
Californian anchovy
Sea mussel
West American sand sole
Squirrelfish
Pacific littleneck clam
Boxfish
Swordfish
Cockle
Curlfin sole
California flounder
Cupped oyster
Venus clam
Blue shark
Shortfin mako shark

SEAFOOD NEARLY GONE
The top seafood choices for Canadians:

1. Shrimp
2. Salmon
3. Tilapia
4. Trout
5. Oysters
6. Mussels

Ran with fact boxes "Seafood nearly gone" and "In danger",which have been appended to the end of the story.

© The Vancouver Sun 2006